Fasteners yog cov khoom siv dav tshaj plaws hauv kev lag luam niaj hnub no, thiab paub tias yog" mov ntawm kev lag luam". Fasteners yog tus cwj pwm los ntawm ntau yam kev qhia tshwj xeeb, kev ua haujlwm sib txawv thiab kev siv, qib siab ntawm kev tsim qauv, serialization, thiab generalization. Lawv muaj ntau yam kev siv, suav nrog ntau yam kev lag luam hauv lub tebchaws, thiab tau siv dav hauv ntau yam tshuab, khoom siv, tsheb, nkoj, Railways, txuas hniav, vaj tse, qauv, cuab yeej, cuab yeej, tshuaj, meters thiab lwm yam khoom. Kev vam meej ntawm cov saum toj no-hais lub ntsiab daim ntawv thov kev lag luam yog siab, thiab qhov kev thov rau fasteners yog loj, uas yuav ntxiv dag zog rau lub expansion ntawm ntau lawm muaj peev xwm ntawm fastener qhauj. Kev txhim kho thev naus laus zis thiab kev txhim kho kev lag luam ntawm cov ntawv thov tseem ceeb hauv kev lag luam yuav ntxiv txhim kho cov kev ua tau zoo thiab cov kev xav tau ntawm cov fasteners. Txhawb kev nce qib ntawm cov txheej txheem ntawm kev lag luam fastener thiab txhawb kev txhim kho ntawm cov khoom fastener zoo; txoj kev loj hlob ntawm daim ntawv thov tshiab teb yuav nthuav dav kev lag luam thov rau fasteners thiab txhawb kev sib txawv ntawm cov khoom fastener. Nyob rau hauv xyoo tas los no, kev lag luam fastener nyob rau hauv Suav teb tau pib tswj kev ruaj khov thiab maj mam loj hlob. Nyob rau hauv tas li ntawd, vim lub slowdown nyob rau hauv lub ntiaj teb no kev lag luam kev loj hlob thiab kev nce downward kev lag luam nyob rau hauv domestic kev lag luam, downstream kev thov rau fasteners tau qeeb, tshwj xeeb tshaj yog cov domestic fastener tsim muaj peev xwm ntawm cov khoom uas tsis tshua muaj siab heev, tab sis cov khoom ntawm cov khoom siv high-end tsis txaus, thiab kev lag luam fastener tau hloov los ntawm kev loj hlob sai mus rau kev loj hlob zoo.
CICC Enterprise Trust International Consulting tshaj tawm lub" In-depth kev tshawb fawb thiab kev soj ntsuam ntawm Tuam Tshoj' s Fastener Kev Lag Luam thiab Peev Risk Prediction Evaluation Report 2021-2027"
(1)Kev lag luam txhais thiab kev faib tawm:Fasteners yog cov ntsiab lus dav dav rau ib hom kev siv tshuab siv thaum ob lossis ntau qhov chaw (los yog cov khoom sib txuas) txuas nrog rau tag nrho, feem ntau suav nrog: bolts, studs, Kaum ob pawg ntawm cov ntsia hlau, txiv ntseej, tus kheej tapping screws, ntoo screws. , tuav cov nplhaib, ntxhua khaub ncaws, pins, rivets, sib dhos thiab kev sib txuas ua ke, vuam cov ntsia hlau, thiab lwm yam, yog ib hom khoom siv tshuab uas siv rau kev sib txuas ceev thiab yog siv dav heev.
(2)Txheej txheem cej luam ntawm lub ntiaj teb fastener kev lag luam:Qhov kev thov rau fasteners feem ntau yog tsav los ntawm cov khoom lag luam hloov pauv, suav nrog cov nqi ntawm cov thee, tooj liab thiab hlau ore, cov khoom lag luam lub neej, kev sib tw thiab lwm yam kev lag luam cuam tshuam rau kev tsim kho thiab khoom lag luam. Kev lag luam thoob ntiaj teb kev lag luam fastener loj yog kwv yees li ntawm 83.34 billion US las hauv 2018. Ua tsaug rau kev txhim kho zoo hauv kev ua neej nyob, uas txhawb kev thov rau cov khoom siv ruaj khov, kev lag luam thoob ntiaj teb kev lag luam fastener yuav tsum pom kev loj hlob sai. Nyob rau lub sijhawm kwv yees los ntawm 2019 txog 2025, nws xav tias yuav loj hlob ntawm kev loj hlob txhua xyoo ntawm 4.1%. Los ntawm 2025, lub ntiaj teb no kev lag luam fastener lag luam yuav ncav cuag US $ 110.24 billion. Txoj kev tsim cov fastener yog tsim los ntawm kev tsim cov khoom tshiab (xws li tshwj xeeb, micro thiab hybrid fasteners) kom hloov mus rau kev hloov pauv cov neeg siv khoom xav tau, uas heralds qhov kev loj hlob tsis tu ncua ntawm kev lag luam yav tom ntej.
Kev tshuaj xyuas ntawm cov xwm txheej quo ntawm lub ntiaj teb kev lag luam fastener kev lag luam loj los ntawm 2018 txog 2025
Statistics: CICC Corporate Trust International Consulting
Kev txiav txim los ntawm kev faib ua feem ntawm thoob ntiaj teb kev lag luam fastener daim ntawv thov nyob rau hauv 2018, kev lag luam tsheb yog tam sim no lub lag luam tseem ceeb rau kev lag luam fastener, ua raws li kev lag luam machinery thiab aerospace. Tsis tas li ntawd, qhov kev thov rau kev lag luam tshuab xws li kev tsim kho thiab kev tsuas yog xav tias yuav loj hlob ntawm qhov kev loj hlob txhua xyoo ntawm 4.4% thaum lub sijhawm kwv yees. Qhov kev thov rau cov nyom thiab cov cuab yeej ua teb yuav tsum loj hlob ntawm qhov kev loj hlob txhua xyoo ntawm 3.2%. Qhov kev thov rau cov ntawv thov downstream yog tas li nce. Txoj kev nce siab txhawb nqa kev txhim kho ruaj khov ntawm kev lag luam fastener.
(3)Txheej txheem cej luam ntawm Tuam Tshoj' kev lag luam fastener:Tom qab ntau tshaj 40 xyoo ntawm kev txhim kho hauv kev hloov kho thiab qhib, Tuam Tshoj' kev lag luam fastener tau ua tiav qhov kev hloov pauv los ntawm me me mus rau qhov loj, thiab nws cov khoom tso tawm thawj zaug hauv ntiaj teb. Nws yog ib tug tiag tiag loj tsim thiab exporter. Raws li qhov yooj yim tshaj plaws thiab ntau yam khoom siv tshuab yooj yim, kev lag luam fastener plays lub luag haujlwm tseem ceeb hauv lub tebchaws' cov kev lag luam tshiab tawm tswv yim, nrog rau kev lag luam dav dav thiab kev loj hlob zoo. Feem ntau ntawm cov tuam txhab fastener muaj tsawg automation, cov khoom siv rov qab, cov khoom tsis zoo, tsis zoo, thiab cov lag luam me me. Qee qhov high-end fasteners nyob rau hauv Tuam Tshoj (tseem ceeb fasteners rau high-ceev locomotives, aviation, aerospace, thiab aircraft manufacturing) tseem yuav tsum tau imported. Cov laj thawj tseem ceeb ntawm kev tsis txaus siab rau tus kheej yog cov khoom siv tsis zoo, kev tsim cov thev naus laus zis, thiab kev tswj hwm thev naus laus zis uas yuav tsum tsis muaj qhov tsis zoo hauv cov khoom. Tseem muaj qhov sib txawv loj. Lub peev xwm ntawm cov khoom siv hauv tsev ntawm cov khoom siv qis kawg yog qhov txaus ntshai, thiab cov khoom siv high-end tsis txaus. Kev hloov kho ntawm cov qauv kev lag luam yog imminent. Tam sim no hais tias Tuam Tshoj txoj kev txhim kho kev lag luam tau nkag mus rau qhov qub qub, qhov kev loj hlob ntawm fasteners yuav inevitably hloov ntawm high-speed mus rau nruab nrab-ceev; hom kev loj hlob tau hloov los ntawm qhov dav dav thiab nrawm mus rau kev loj hlob hnyav hauv kev ua tau zoo thiab kev ua haujlwm zoo; Kev hloov kho cov qauv tau hloov pauv los ntawm kev muaj peev xwm nce ntxiv mus rau kev sib koom ua ke ntawm cov khoom muag thiab nce ntxiv. Kev kho qhov tob; lub zog loj hlob tau hloov ntawm cov ntsiab lus loj hlob ib txwm mus rau cov ntsiab lus loj hlob tshiab. Qhov qub qub yuav coj txoj hauv kev txhim kho tshiab rau Suav fasteners.
Nyob rau hauv xyoo tas los no, Tuam Tshoj' kev lag luam fastener tau tuav txoj kev loj hlob sai, thiab cov khoom tsim tawm, kev muag ntim thiab kev kawm tiav qib siab tau raug txhim kho tas li. Fasteners yog dav siv nyob rau hauv ntau yam machinery, khoom siv, tsheb, nkoj, railways, txuas hniav, vaj tse, cov qauv, cov cuab yeej thiab instrumentation thiab lwm yam teb, thiab yog ze ze rau txoj kev loj hlob ntawm cov cuab yeej tsim kev lag luam. Nrog rau kev txhim kho tsis tu ncua ntawm Tuam Tshoj' kev lag luam kev lag luam, kev nce ntxiv hauv kev thov rau fasteners hauv kev lag luam downstream, thiab kev txhawb zog ntawm lub teb chaws txoj cai, qhov loj ntawm lub lag luam fastener yuav nce ntxiv.
Kev txheeb cais los ntawm CICC Enterprise Credit: Los ntawm 2012 txog 2019, cov nyiaj tau los ntawm kev lag luam tseem ceeb ntawm Tuam Tshoj' kev lag luam fastener manufacturing txuas ntxiv mus txog thaum nws mus txog qhov kawg hauv 2017 thiab tom qab ntawd tsis kam. Thaum kawg ntawm 2019, cov nyiaj tau los ntawm kev lag luam tseem ceeb ntawm Tuam Tshoj' kev lag luam fastener manufacturing yog 122.059 billion yuan. Qhov xwm txheej tshwj xeeb yog qhia hauv daim duab hauv qab no:
2012-2019 Tuam Tshoj' s fastener manufacturing kev lag luam' lub ntsiab lag luam nyiaj tau los tsom xam
Statistics: CICC Corporate Trust International Consulting
Hauv xyoo 2019, kev lag luam fastener ntsib ntau yam teeb meem thiab teeb meem. Qhov cuam tshuam ntawm Sino-US kev lag luam ua tsov ua rog tau pom meej, thiab kev xa tawm tau poob qis; Kev sib txhuam kev lag luam thoob ntiaj teb tau nce ntxiv, thiab cov tuam txhab xa tawm raug txwv; tus nqi raw khoom tseem siab thiab cov nqi tsim khoom tau nce ntxiv; Kev saib xyuas ib puag ncig Nrog kev siv zog ntau dua, ntau lub tuam txhab yuav tsum tau kho, hloov chaw, lossis txawm raug kaw; yam xws li cov nqi siab tag nrho hauv txhua yam txwv tsis pub cov tuam txhab los ntawm kev nthuav dav ntau lawm thiab xa tawm. Hauv xyoo 2019, Tuam Tshoj tau xa tawm 267,000 tons ntawm steel qauv fasteners, ib xyoos ib zaug txo ntawm 15.87%, thiab tus nqi ntshuam yog US $ 2.839 billion, ib xyoos ib zaug txo ntawm 11.84%.
(4)Txoj kev loj hlob ntawm kev lag luam fastener:Piv nrog rau qib siab ntawm cov teb chaws txawv teb chaws, cov txheej txheem kev lag luam ntawm Tuam Tshoj' kev lag luam fastener tseem muaj qhov sib txawv loj, uas yog feem ntau cuam tshuam hauv cov khoom siv thiab cov khoom siv raw. Feem ntau ntawm cov fastener manufacturers nyob rau hauv Tuam Tshoj yog me me nyob rau hauv scale, rov qab nyob rau hauv ntau lawm technology, tsis zoo nyob rau hauv cov khoom, qeeb nyob rau hauv technological innovation, thiab tsis zoo nyob rau hauv kev kho mob nto. Qhov no tau ua rau muaj peev xwm ntau lawm rau cov khoom lag luam qis hauv kev lag luam fastener hauv Suav teb, thaum cov khoom siv high-end fastener yog luv luv; ntxiv rau; , ntau yam, specification thiab zoo ntawm domestic fastener steel tsis tuaj yeem ua tau raws li qhov xav tau ntawm kev lag luam fastener, uas ua rau hloov cov txheej txheem uas yuav tsum tau daws nyob rau hauv kev lag luam metallurgical rau fastener tuam txhab uas muag. Tam sim no, tsuas yog ob peb lub tuam txhab tuaj yeem tso siab rau lawv tus kheej Lub zog muaj zog ua kom daws tau qhov teeb meem no.
Tam sim no, Tuam Tshoj' kev tsim kho kev lag luam hauv tebchaws tau nkag mus rau theem tshiab ntawm kev txhim kho, thiab kev tsim khoom siab heev uas sawv cev los ntawm cov dav hlau loj, cov khoom siv hluav taws xob loj, tsheb, tsheb ciav hlau ceev, cov nkoj loj, thiab cov khoom ua tiav loj. cov khoom siv kuj tseem yuav nkag mus rau qhov tseem ceeb ntawm kev txhim kho. Raws li qhov tshwm sim, kev siv lub zog siab thiab kev ua tau zoo ntawm cov fasteners yuav txuas ntxiv mus, uas ua rau cov tuam txhab fastener txuas ntxiv txhim kho cov khoom zoo thiab kev ua tau zoo, ua kom cov thev naus laus zis hloov kho dua tshiab, txhim kho kev ywj pheej innovation muaj peev xwm, thiab txuas ntxiv txhim kho cov qauv khoom thiab nthuav dav cov khoom. Pawg los txhim kho qib kev txawj ntse ntawm kev yuav khoom, kev tsim khoom, kev muag khoom thiab kev tswj hwm.
Txoj kev siv thev naus laus zis tshiab yog kev txhawb nqa rau kev txhim kho cov fasteners, thiab cov qauv ntawm kev txhim kho thev naus laus zis txiav txim siab cov kev taw qhia ntawm kev lag luam kev lag luam mus rau qhov loj heev. Cov thev naus laus zis tseem ceeb ntawm cov fasteners tsis yog tsuas yog txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau tshawb nrhiav thiab txhim kho cov qib tshwj xeeb steel, tab sis kuj tseem ua ke cov ntsiab lus kev paub thiab kev paub hauv kev tsim khoom, kev sim thiab kev kho cua sov ntawm fasteners. Nyob rau hauv lub neej yav tom ntej, Tuam Tshoj tus fastener technology yuav maj mam txav mus los ze zog mus rau txawv teb chaws advanced theem nyob rau hauv cov nqe lus ntawm kev xaiv cov khoom, cov qauv tsim, tsim technology, tshwj xeeb technology, kev soj ntsuam technology, nto txheej technology, thiab kev tswj kom zoo. Nyob rau tib lub sijhawm, kev tsim khoom thiab kev tsim khoom yuav muaj kev txawj ntse, kev sib koom ua ke thiab supernormal. Kev loj hlob kuj tseem yuav yog qhov tseem ceeb ntawm kev lag luam thev naus laus zis kev txhim kho.
①Kev txawj ntse:Intelligent manufacturing yog ib tug tshiab manufacturing hom ntawm fasteners, thiab nws yog inevitable tshwm sim ntawm txoj kev loj hlob ntawm automation, digitization, networking thiab txawj ntse nyob rau hauv mechanical manufacturing. Raws li cov nqi ua haujlwm nce ntxiv, cov khoom lag luam yuav tsum tau nce ntxiv, thiab kev xav tau ntau haiv neeg tau dhau los ua qhov tseem ceeb, kev lag luam fastener muaj qhov xav tau ceev ceev rau kev tsim khoom ntse. Kev tsim khoom ntse yuav ua kom zoo dua qhov kev tsim khoom thiab cov txiaj ntsig ntawm cov fasteners, txo cov nqi zog ntawm cov lag luam, txhim kho qhov chaw ua haujlwm thiab kev siv zog ntawm cov neeg ua haujlwm, thiab txhim kho cov khoom zoo thiab kev ntseeg siab. Kev txawj ntse tsim muaj xws li kev txawj ntse ntawm cov txheej txheem tsim khoom thiab kev txawj ntse ntawm cov khoom siv. Kev txawj ntse ntawm cov txheej txheem tsim khoom xav tau kev txhim kho ntawm ntau yam kev tsim khoom ntse, automation lossis ntse cov kab ntau lawm, thiab tom qab ntawd tsim cov kev cob qhia digital, cov chaw tsim khoom thiab cov lag luam digital. Kev txawj ntse ntawm cov cuab yeej xav kom cov tuam txhab lag luam nce peev hauv kev tshawb fawb thiab thev naus laus zis thiab kev tsim kho thiab thev naus laus zis tshiab, thiab txhim kho cov peev txheej ntawm cov cuab yeej tsim khoom thiab qib kev tsim khoom sib txuam. Cov teeb meem tseem ceeb uas yuav tsum tau kov yeej nyob rau ob peb xyoos tom ntej no rau kev tsim khoom ntse ntawm fasteners yog: tsis siv neeg thiab ntse txias forging precision sib sau tshuab, txias forging tshuab tshuab thiab cov cuab yeej siv rau qhov loj-loj fasteners, precision forming technology rau complex shape fasteners, automated khoom siv logistics thiab Tsis siv neeg kho cua sov ntau lawm kab, thiab lwm yam.
②Fusion:Fusion yog tus ntoo khaub lig fusion ntawm ntau yam kev qhuab qhia, thiab kev sib xyaw ntawm ntau yam txheej txheem yog qhov sib txawv ntawm lub sijhawm tshiab. Kev sib koom ua ke ntawm kev tsim khoom siv tshuab thiab cov ntaub ntawv thev naus laus zis thiab ntau yam thev naus laus zis siab thiab tshiab, kev sib koom ua ke ntawm cov tshuab thiab cov khoom siv, thiab kev sib koom ua ke ntawm cov cuab yeej technology thiab kab lis kev cai yuav txuas ntxiv qhov tseem ceeb hauv kev tsim cov fasteners. Daim ntawv thov ntawm fusion technology yuav tsim cov khoom fastening tshiab, kev tsim cov txheej txheem, cov cuab yeej ua haujlwm thiab cov tshuab, ua kom cov khoom lag luam zoo ntawm cov fasteners thiab nthuav cov khoom lag luam.
Tsis tas li ntawd, qhov tshwj xeeb tshaj yog tsim nyog hais txog hauv kev tsim khoom fusion yog txheej txheem kev sib xyaw thiab kev sib xyaw ua ke. Cov txheej txheem kev sib xyaw ua ke txhais tau hais tias thawj cov txheej txheem ntau yam thiab ntau cov txheej txheem sib xyaw ua ke thiab sib xyaw ua ke rau hauv ib lub cuab yeej, uas txo cov txheej txheem txuas thiab chaw ua haujlwm, txhim kho kev ua haujlwm, thiab txhim kho cov khoom zoo. Integrated innovation yog ib txoj haujlwm tshiab uas hloov pauv ntau yam kev sib txuas rau hauv kev tshawb fawb thiab thev naus laus zis thiab kev tsim khoom. Nws yog ib txoj hauv kev tseem ceeb ntawm kev tsim khoom lag luam thiab hom tseem ceeb ntawm kev siv tshuab fastener tam sim no.
③Supernormalization:Nrog rau kev nthuav dav ntawm tib neeg' qhov chaw nyob thiab kev txhim kho sai ntawm cov thev naus laus zis, cov kev xav tau ntawm cov fasteners tau nce siab dua, thiab lawv tau siv nyob rau hauv tej yam kev mob xws li loj heev, tsis tshua muaj me me, ultra-siab kub, ultra-low kub, ultra-siab ceev, thiab ultra-low ceev. Qhov kev thov rau fasteners yog nce, thiab cov txheej txheem thev naus laus zis rau kev tsim cov fasteners no txawv ntawm cov fasteners zoo tib yam. Ultra-ib txwm raug suav nrog ob lub ntsiab lus: ib qho yog kev tsim cov khoom siv fastener siv nyob rau hauv cov xwm txheej txawv txawv; lwm yam yog cov txheej txheem thiab technology ntawm kev tsim cov khoom fastener. Nyob rau hauv lub neej yav tom ntej, ultra-precision manufacturing, ultra-high-kev ua tau zoo cov khoom tsim thiab ultra-ib txwm ua txheej txheem yuav yog lub cim ntawm qib ntawm fastener manufacturing, thiab tseem yuav dhau los ua cov kev tshawb fawb tseem ceeb thiab kev loj hlob ntawm high-end fastener manufacturers.
